#266457 - 12/07/2005 23:58
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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enthusiast
Meldunek: 02/08/2001
Postów: 341
Skąd: Rzeszów
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Christophe Moreau v Santiago Botero sportingbet Moreau 1.75 Pinnacle Botero 2.56 4%
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#266458 - 15/07/2005 23:27
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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stranger
Meldunek: 16/03/2005
Postów: 21
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Wyszukujesz sam czy używasz jakieś stronki, lub programy?
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#266459 - 20/07/2005 20:47
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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enthusiast
Meldunek: 02/08/2001
Postów: 341
Skąd: Rzeszów
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sorki dopiero teraz przeczytałem. Jak przegladam oferty bukow szukajac czegos do zagrania to czasem sie natykam na jakiegos sure beta.Sam raczej nie gram. Omiya Ardija v Kashima Antlers Omiya Ardija +0.5 pointbet kurs 1.835 Kashima Antlers gamebookers kurs 2.3 2%
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#266461 - 25/07/2005 09:22
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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journeyman
Meldunek: 21/07/2005
Postów: 97
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ale ten BAW jest pojebany odnośnie meczu Łuczaka - Vik godz 11:05 zakład ważny do 11:10 kursy u normalnych buków 1,75 - 1,95 a w BAW najpierw patrze 2,92 na Vika juz chce to stawiac a tu kurs zmienił się na 4,00 :O !!!!!!! tylko ze jak chciałem puscic to za 200 to dupa wyskakiwały jakies pierdoly ze moge wygrac tylko 4,17 - co za gówno i mi stawke zmniejszalo na 1.04 zł jak tam minimum jest2 zł dziadostwo - a sie takim surem podpaliłem
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#266462 - 25/07/2005 10:40
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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Pooh-Bah
Meldunek: 30/11/2004
Postów: 2012
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Tak to z surebetami sie zdarza. A potem jeszcze moga konto zablokowac jak sie postawi na taka ewidentna pomylke. Szczegolnie wlasnie w BAW.
Wojtek
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#266463 - 30/07/2005 11:21
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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journeyman
Meldunek: 21/07/2005
Postów: 97
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dzis Sportingbet wystawił kursy na odwrót w meczu Hrbaty - Muller 2,75 1,4 byłby niezły sure ale po godzinie book anulował mój zakład w którym wniosłem delikatnie 250 zł
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#266465 - 05/08/2005 11:04
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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enthusiast
Meldunek: 02/08/2001
Postów: 341
Skąd: Rzeszów
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Altach vs Leoben pointbet Altach-0.25 kurs 2.03 stawka 50% betandwin remis kurs 3.55 stawka 22.27% Leoben kurs 3.9 stawka 27.73% 4.7%
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#266466 - 05/08/2005 11:19
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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stranger
Meldunek: 03/08/2005
Postów: 14
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jak ty to wyliczyles ze jest to sure bets,bo mi wychodzi ze wiecej wlozysz niz wygrasz
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#266467 - 05/08/2005 11:44
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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enthusiast
Meldunek: 02/08/2001
Postów: 341
Skąd: Rzeszów
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gramy za 100 jednostek zwyciestwo Altach 2.03*50-100=+1.5 remis 3.55*22.27-75=+4.06 zwyciestwo Leoben 3.9*27.73-100=+8.15
wez pod uwage, ze w pointbecie jest Altach-0.25 a wiec przy remisie przegrywamy tylko polowe stawki. Walnalem sie przy doborze stawek, ale za kazdym razem na plus wychodzi wiec sure jest. Lepiej stawki dobrac tak Altach vs Leoben pointbet Altach-0.25 kurs 2.03 stawka 51.58% betandwin remis kurs 3.55 stawka 21.57% Leoben kurs 3.9 stawka 26.85 zwyciestwo Altach 2.03*51.58-100=+4.71 remis 3.55*21.57-74.21=+2.36 zwyciestwo Leoben 3.9*26.85-100=+4.72
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#266468 - 05/08/2005 11:47
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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stranger
Meldunek: 05/08/2005
Postów: 1
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Quote:
Ciekawy artykuł na w SBR na temat ludzi bawiących się w surebety:
Quote:
E.N. (3 czerwca 2005): Hi Bill, I would like to ask what are the reason(s) that bookies ban arbitragers from their sites. I mean arbitragers could be seen as a helping hand some times, right?
What is the average time period that an arbitrager will remain in a bookie before being expelled? Why do some bookies accept arbitagers while others don´t?
t.i.a. Emmanuel
SBR Bill Dozer: Hello,
There are a few reasons why arbitragers/scalpers/traders are undesirable to recreational sportsbooks. A recreational player base brings an even-flow of somewhat predicable action throughout the sportsbook. It allows the bookmaker to move its odds based largely on the amount of money taken on each side of a bet.
When a scalper is scalping, he forces the recreational-style bookmaker to watch the market prices more than they would like. For example, if the consensus line on the Celtics is -3 and the high-limit, "professional" sportsbooks suddenly move to Celtics -3.5 (priced at -120), the recreational book´s scalpers will jump on the Celts -3 all at once before the linesman has a chance to move to the new consensus line of -3.5. The bookmaker does not want these surges in one-sided wagers but the arbitrage player gives him no choice.
Now, apply this problem to every line that is about to move and every weak number that should be moved. This is a losing proposition for the house that will eat into long term profit goals.
These players are using sharp numbers from other sportsbooks in an effort to bet into the slower sportsbook before it can change the odds. I have heard some substandard bookmakers go to the extreme of calling the whole process “insider trading”. They say that the bettor does not like or dislike a team, but since he has been given information about which way the odds will go he will make a play.
Most players resent the notion that this is cheating, and rightfully so. However, many of these same players refuse to recognize that sportsbooks come in different breeds. They are upset by the fact that the book is unwilling to take their bets. You might hear these players complain “I wish XYZ sportsbook would grow some balls” or “Sportsbook XYZ is afraid to book a bet”. Players like to think of themselves as being too good for the book but it is actually the other book that the player is using on the other side of his scalps that they do not want to compete with. There is nothing wrong with grinding and playing weak numbers; but players who do this will soon realize they are not the target customer for all sportsbooks. A qulaity book who wishes to part ways with these customers will do so without passing on any penalties to the player.
Sportsbooks that happliy accept scalpers do so because they are using the market to their advantage. They will move their lines according to what their own sharp players´ wagers. These books will steer the rest of the market. With Pinnacle and CRIS being must-haves for line shoppers, the recreational sportsbook can be sure that its scalpers are also using them. This forces them to follow these high limit sharp books to some extent. The more arbitragers a book has, the more it will have to follow the Pinnacles and the rest of the market, instead of having the luxury of managing its own gamblers while only glancing at what their neighbor is doing. Even a non-scalper who plays these weak numbers will be feared.
There isn´t an average time period that a book will allow an individual to scalp its lines. I have seen a player be shown the door after one bet, while others have scalped lines without restrictions. It depends on many factors such as when you place these bets, for how much, the promotions involved, and what other kind of action you give the book.
Regards, Bill Dozer
O co tutaj chodzi?
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#266469 - 05/08/2005 11:49
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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stranger
Meldunek: 03/08/2005
Postów: 14
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teraz sie zgadza jest sure bets,nieduzy ale zawsze jest
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#266470 - 05/08/2005 12:00
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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Pooh-Bah
Meldunek: 30/11/2004
Postów: 2012
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Gdzie Wy widzicie kurs na Loeben 3,9? w Betandwin jest DSV Leoben 3.40
Jak sie porowna kursy ktore byly rano z tymi ktore sa teraz w druga strone to czesto wydaje sie, ze jest surebet a zagrac sie nie da w jednym momencie.
Wojtek
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#266472 - 05/08/2005 12:10
Re: SURE BETS [6]
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enthusiast
Meldunek: 02/08/2001
Postów: 341
Skąd: Rzeszów
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teraz już jest na Leoben 3.4 ale jak pisalem posta o 13:04 to jeszcze na 100% bylo 3.9 Pozdro
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